NBA DFS: Projected Ownership for Tonight’s Games

Get an edge on the competition by knowing which players will be highly owned in NBA DFS tonight. We give you the projected ownership for all the slate’s games.

Introduction

In NBA DFS one of the most important factors to consider is projected ownership. This can help you decide which players are worth targeting in your lineup, and which players you may want to avoid.

There are many ways to estimate ownership, but one of the most accurate is by looking at the percentage of entries a player has in major tournaments. Here is a look at the projected ownership for some of the Top Players in tonight’s slate of games.

What is NBA DFS?

Daily fantasy sports (DFS) is a rapidly growing industry. Players build a team of real world athletes and then score points based on those players’ statistical performances in actual games. Unlike traditional season-long fantasy leagues, DFS contests last for just one day or one week, and players can enter and exit contests at any time.

NBA DFS is especially popular because of the fast pace of the sport and the large amount of statistical data that is produced. In order to be successful at NBA DFS players need to understand how to utilize that data to create winning lineups.

One important factor in creating winning lineups is projected ownership. Projected ownership is an estimate of how many people will roster a particular player in a given contest. While there are many factors that go into winning DFS contests, rostering players with low projected ownership can be a key ingredient for success.

In general, there are three types of players that you want to target with low projected ownership:

1) Elite players who are underpriced relative to their production level
2) Solid players who are underpriced relative to their projected output
3) Risky/high upside players who have the potential to outperform their price tag

What is projected ownership?

In short, projected ownership is an estimate of how many DFS players will roster a particular player in a given contest. Since we can’t know for sure how many people will roster a player, the goal is to be as accurate as possible so we can make informed decisions about who to roster (and who to fade) in our DFS contests.

There are a number of factors that go into projected ownership, including but not limited to:
-The player’s salary
-The player’s recent performance
-The player’s matchup
-The size of the contest (GPP vs. cash game)
-The time of the contest (early slate vs. late slate)
-And more!

Projected ownership is just one tool in the DFS player’s toolbox, but it can be a valuable one if used correctly.

Why is projected ownership important?

One of the most important pieces of information for any DFS player is projected ownership. This allows you to see how popular a certain player is, and it can help you make informed decisions about who to use in your lineup.

There are a few different ways to find out projected ownership for a given player. One is to look at the “Expert consensus” page on sites like FantasyPros. This page aggregates the projections of many different experts and can give you a good sense of who is being liked by the majority of people.

Another way to find out projected ownership is to look at the “Lineup Builder” tool on some DFS sites. This tool allows you to put together a lineup and see how popular each player is based on how often they are being selected by other users.

Finally, you can sometimes find projected ownership information in thedfsreport’s “Player Pool” article. This article breaks down all of the players that areexpected to be popular in a given day or week, and it can give you a good sense of who you should be using in your lineup.

How is projected ownership calculated?

There are many factors that go into projected ownership for NBA DFS purposes. First, we look at the Vegas lines to see if there is any correlation between projected points and implied team totals. We also look at factors such as recent games played opponent, and home/away splits. All of these factors are weighed into our algorithm to come up with projected ownership for each player.

What are the benefits of using projected ownership?

There are numerous benefits to utilizing projected ownership in your NBA DFS research. First and foremost, it allows you to see which players are going to be the most popular picks on a given night. This information is valuable because it can help you make roster construction decisions – if you know that a particular player is going to be heavily owned, you can decide whether or not you want to have exposure to that player. Additionally, projected ownership can also help you find contrarian plays – if there are one or two players who are projected to be very highly owned, but you don’t think they’re worth their price tag, then fading them in favor of other players could give you an edge over the rest of the field.

What are the risks of using projected ownership?

There are a few risks to using projected ownership in your NBA DFS lineup construction. First, ownership percentages can change rapidly throughout the day, especially as news breaks and lineup changes are announced. Second, even if the ownership percentages stay constant, the actual mix of players in each lineup may be different than what was projected.

For example, let’s say you’re looking at a small slate of games and you see that one player is projected to be 20% owned. You might be tempted to fades that player in order to gain an edge on the field. But what if 60% of the people who own that player also have another high-priced player? In that case, you’re not gaining as much of an edge as you think.

Similarly, a player with a low projected ownership percentage might actually be a good play if the majority of people who own him have other cheap players in their lineups. So while projected ownership can be a helpful tool, it’s important to use it in conjunction with other factors when making your NBA DFS decisions.

How can I use projected ownership to my advantage?

Ownership percentages are a huge part of daily fantasy basketball If you can find the right players who are projected to have low ownership, you can gain a real advantage over your opponents.

There are a few ways to use ownership projections to your advantage. First, you can use them to help you make lineup decisions. If two players are close in terms of projected points and salary, you can choose the one with lower projected ownership. This will help you differentiate your lineup from others and give you a better chance of winning.

Second, you can use ownership projections to help you make lineup decisions for tournaments. In general, you want players with high upside and low ownership in tournaments. By finding players with low projected ownership, you increase your chances of having a unique lineup that can take down the tournament.

Finally, you can use ownership projections to help you make decisions about who to fade. If there is a player who is projected to be highly owned but has a low ceiling, you may want to avoid him in order to differentiate your lineup from others.

Projected ownership is just one tool that you can use when making lineup decisions for daily fantasy basketball However, it can be a very helpful tool if used correctly.

What other factors should I consider when building my NBA DFS lineup?

There are a few other things you’ll want to consider when building your NBA DFS lineup tonight. In addition to projected ownership, you’ll also want to look at:
-The Vegas lines
-The pace of play
-The matchup
-Injuries

All of these factors can have an impact on how successful your lineup is. By taking all of them into consideration, you’ll be giving yourself the best chance to win.

Conclusion

With three games on the slate for tonight, there are a few Key Players that are projected to see high ownership. Giannis Antetokounmpo James Harden and Anthony Davis are all expected to see over 30% ownership in GPPs. While they are all great options, they will be very popular and you may want to consider going contrarian with your builds.

Some lower-owned options that could pay off include Rudy Gobert Kemba Walker and Malcolm Brogdon. All three of these players are projected for 25-30 points and should come at a lower ownership than the aforementioned stars. As always, be sure to check for updates closer to tip-off as things can change quickly in the NBA. Best of luck tonight!