How to Use NBA Implied Totals to Your Advantage
Contents
- What are NBA implied totals?
- How can you use them to your advantage?
- What factors affect NBA implied totals?
- How do bookmakers set NBA implied totals?
- How can you find NBA implied totals?
- What is the relationship between NBA implied totals and betting lines?
- How can you use NBA implied totals to create a betting strategy?
- What are some common mistakes made when Betting on NBA implied totals?
- How can you avoid making these mistakes?
- What are some other resources for learning about NBA implied totals?
If you’re a fan of basketball betting then you know that implied totals can be a helpful tool. But what exactly are they and how can you use them to your advantage? Keep reading to find out!
What are NBA implied totals?
NBA implied totals are a useful tool for bettors to use when handicapping games. An implied total is simply an estimate of how many points a team is expected to score in a given game. This number is derived from the odds set by sportsbooks for the over/under total.
For example, if the Los Angeles Lakers re Playing the Sacramento Kings and the over/under is set at 220 points, the bookmakers are essentially saying that they believe the Lakers and Kings will combine to score 220 points. Therefore, the Lakers’ implied total would be 110 points (220/2) and the Kings’ implied total would also be 110 points.
In general, NBA teams with higher implied totals are perceived to be better teams than those with lower implied totals. Therefore, bettors can use this information to their advantage when making wagers on games.
If you think a team with a lower implied total has a good chance of winning outright or covering the spread, you can bet on that team with confidence knowing that oddsmakers are not giving them as much respect as they are other teams. Conversely, if you believe a team with a high implied total will struggle to meet expectations, you can bet against them and potentially profit if they fall short.
Of course, nothing in Sports betting is guaranteed and implied totals are just one piece of information that should be considered when handicapping games. However, if used correctly, NBA implied totals can give you an edge over other bettors who aren’t taking them into account.
How can you use them to your advantage?
NBA implied totals are an important factor to consider when betting on basketball games Here’s how you can use them to your advantage.
Implied totals are created by oddsmakers and are based on public perception. They take into account factors such as the media hype around a game, the betting action, and the line movement.
NBA implied totals can give you an important edge when betting on basketball games Here’s how you can use them to your advantage.
Implied totals can be used in a number of ways, but perhaps the most important is to help you make second half bets. By looking at the implied total for a game, you can get a sense of which team is more likely to win. This can be especially helpful when making halftime bets or live betting during a game.
In addition to giving you an edge when making bets, implied totals can also help you manage your bankroll. By understanding how the public is betting on a game, you can make more informed decisions about how much to bet.
If you’re serious about winning at basketball betting then you need to understand and use NBA implied totals. By doing so, you’ll give yourself a major advantage over other bettors.
What factors affect NBA implied totals?
There are a variety of factors that can affect NBA implied totals, and figuring out how they work can give you a significant advantage when placing bets. First and foremost, the bookmakers will always set the lines with the intention of making a profit. This means that they will generally err on the side of caution when it comes to setting implied totals. Secondly, public perception can play a role in how NBA implied totals are set. If the majority of bettors are leaning one way or the other, the bookmakers will adjust the lines accordingly in order to try and balance things out and avoid taking too much risk. Finally, there are a variety of injuries and lineup changes that can impact an NBA team’s performance, and these factors will also be taken into account when setting implied totals.
How do bookmakers set NBA implied totals?
To set an NBA implied total, bookmakers will first look at the Vegas line for a game. They’ll then use that line to calculate how many points they think each team is likely to score. This number is then used to set the over/under for the game.
The reason why bookmakers set implied totals is because they want to encourage bets on both sides of the over/under. By using the Vegas line as a starting point they can ensure that there’s an equal chance of either side hitting the over or under.
Implied totals can be a useful tool for bettors who want to get an edge on the market. By understanding how bookmakers set them, you can determine whether or not you think the market is underestimating or overestimating a team’s scoring potential.
How can you find NBA implied totals?
There are a few ways to find NBA implied totals. One way is to look at the sportsbook’s betting odds for the game. Another way is to look at the moneyline for the game. The moneyline will tell you how much money you need to bet in order to win $100. For example, if the moneyline is +600, that means you would need to bet $600 to win $100.
What is the relationship between NBA implied totals and betting lines?
The relationship between NBA implied totals and betting lines is a complicated one. Bettors often use implied totals to try and predict how much a team will score in a given game. However, there are many factors that can affect a team’s score, so implied totals should be used as just one tool in your bettor’s toolbox.
Bettors should be aware of the following when using NBA implied totals:
-The relationship between NBA implied totals and betting lines is not always linear. There will be times when a team’s implied total is higher than the betting line, and vice versa.
-The relationship between NBA implied totals and actual scores can vary depending on the game situation. For example, teams tend to score more points in garbage time (when the outcome of the game has already been decided) than they do in crunch time (when the game is close and every point matters).
-Essentially, NBA implied totals are just one way to look at the data when trying to predict how many points a team will score in a given game. They should be used in conjunction with other factors, such as recent scoring trends and match-up data.
How can you use NBA implied totals to create a betting strategy?
While many sports bettors tend to focus on the point spread when it comes to NBA betting there is another way to approach the game that can be just as profitable — implied totals.
Implied totals are a calculated estimate of how many points a team is expected to score based on the odds set by bookmakers. By analyzing these numbers, savvy bettors can get an edge on the competition by finding value in teams that are expected to score more (or less) than they actually do.
For example, let’s say that the Los Angeles Lakers are playing the Charlotte Hornets and the bookmakers have set an implied total of 111 points for the Lakers. This means that they are expecting Los Angeles to score 111 points in the game. However, if you believe that the Lakers will actually scored 115 points, then there is value in betting on them.
Of course, implied totals can also be used to bet against a team if you think they will fall short of their number. In this case, you would be betting on the Hornets +111 (meaning you would win $111 for every $100 bet).
While it takes some time and effort to get accustomed to reading NBAImplied Totals, those who do will find themselves with a valuable tool that can be used to profit from basketball betting
What are some common mistakes made when Betting on NBA implied totals?
There are a few common mistakes that are made when betting on NBA implied totals. One of the most common is betting on too many games. It’s important to remember that you should only be betting on the games that you feel confident about. Another mistake that is made is not paying attention to the lineups. This is especially important if you are betting on a game that is close to the start of the season. Make sure to check the lineups before making your bet. Finally, another mistake that is sometimes made is not doing enough research. Make sure to read up on the teams and players involved in the game before making your bet.
How can you avoid making these mistakes?
If you’re like most sports bettors you probably think of implied totals as a way to quickly find value on the moneyline. And while that’s certainly one way to use them, there are a few traps that even experienced bettors can fall into when handicapping games using implied totals. Let’s take a look at a few of the most common mistakes and how you can avoid them.
One common mistake is assuming that because a team has a high implied total, they will necessarily score a lot of points. This is not always the case, as teams with high totals may be up against tough defenses or may simply be overvalued by theoddsmakers. Conversely, teams with low implied totals may be facing weak defenses or may be undervalued by the oddsmakers. In either case, it’s important to do your own research before placing your bet.
Another mistake is assuming that because a team has a low implied total, they will necessarily struggle to score points While this may sometimes be the case, there are often reasons why a team has a low implied total that have nothing to do with their ability to score points For example, a team may be facing a very good defense or may be playing in inclement weather conditions. Again, it’s important to do your own research before placing your bet.
Finally, don’t let yourself be swayed by public opinion when handicapping games using implied totals. Just because the public is betting on one team doesn’t mean that they are necessarily the better team. In fact, the public often bets on teams based on popularity rather than actual merit. This can lead to value opportunities for savvy bettors who are willing to go against the grain.
What are some other resources for learning about NBA implied totals?
If you are looking for more information on NBA implied totals, some other resources that may be helpful include:
-The Basketball Jones podcast: In each episode, the hosts discuss the latest NBA news and developments, often with an emphasis on betting and fantasy basketball
-The Nylon Calculus website: This site features a variety of articles on basketball analytics, many of which touch on topics related to implied totals.
-The ESPN NBA section: This is a good place to stay up to date on the latest league news and developments. The site also features a variety of betting-related content.
-The FiveThirtyEight NBA Podcast In each episode, the hosts discuss a range of topics related to the NBA, with an emphasis on data and analytics.