baseball-reference Playoff Odds: Who’s In and Who’s Out?

As the MLB regular season comes to a close, we take a look at which teams have the best chance of making the playoffs

The teams with the best chance to make the playoffs

As the baseball season enters its final stretch, some teams are solidifying their playoff spots while others are on the bubble.

The Washington Nationals have the best chance to make the playoffs, according to baseball-reference.com’s Playoff Odds model. The Nationals have a 97.7 percent chance of making the playoffs and a 97.5 percent chance of winning the National League East division.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 94.6 percent chance of making the playoffs and a 92.2 percent chance of winning the National League West division.

In the American League the Houston Astros have a 79.1 percent chance of making the playoffs and a 77.6 percent chance of winning the AL West division.

The Cleveland Indians have a 74.9 percent chance of making the playoffs and a 73.5 percent chance of winning the AL Central Division

The teams with the worst chance to make the playoffs

There are a lot of teams with very little chance to make the playoffs this year. To be fair, there are also a lot of teams with a very good chance to make the playoffs. In fact, there are only a handful of teams that can realistically be said to have a 50/50 chance or better of making the playoffs.

The teams with the worst chance to make the playoffs this year are the Baltimore Orioles Detroit Tigers Kansas City Royals Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers These teams all have less than a 10% chance of making the playoffs according to baseball-reference’s Playoff Odds

The teams that are on the bubble of making the playoffs

With the MLB regular season winding down, there are a handful of teams that are on the bubble of making the playoffs. Here is a look at the teams that are currently in the mix:

-The Chicago Cubs have a 98.9% chance of making the playoffs, according to baseball-reference. They are currently in first place in the NL Central with a record of 92-60.
-The Washington Nationals have a 97.7% chance of making the playoffs, according to baseball-reference. They are currently in first place in the NL East with a record of 91-61.
-The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 96.0% chance of making the playoffs, according to baseball-reference. They are currently in first place in the NL West with a record of 90-62.
-The Cleveland Indians have a 95.1% chance of making the playoffs, according to baseball-reference. They are currently in first place in the AL Central with a record of 91-61.
-The Houston Astros have a 94.4% chance of making the playoffs, according to baseball-reference. They are currently in first place in the AL West with a record of 90-62.
-The Boston Red Sox have a 92.5% chance of making the playoffs, according to baseball-reference. They are currently in first place in the AL East with a record of 90-63.

The teams that have clinched a playoff spot

As of September 26th, eight teams have clinched a playoff spot. They are the Yankees, Astros, Dodgers, Braves, Cubs, Cardinals, Nationals, and Brewers.

The teams that have been eliminated from playoff contention

As of September 28th, there are only a few teams that have been eliminated from playoff contention. The teams that are still in the running have a chance to make it to the postseason, but it is still anyone’s game.

The teams that have been eliminated from the playoffs are the Baltimore Orioles the Toronto Blue Jays the Pittsburgh Pirates the Seattle Mariners and the Colorado Rockies These teams will not be playing in October, and their fans will be rooting for other teams to win.

The teams that are still in the running for a spot in the playoffs are the Boston Red Sox the Cleveland Indians the Houston Astros the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Washington Nationals These teams all have a chance to make it to the postseason and their fans are still hopeful.

The teams with the best chance to win the World Series

As the MLB season comes to a close, we take a look at the teams with the best chance to win the World Series according to baseball-reference’s Playoff Odds. The Houston Astros currently have the best chance, with a 68.8% chance of winning the World Series The New York Yankees who are in second place in the AL East, have a 61.5% chance of winning the World Series The Los Angeles Dodgers are in third place with a 47.9% chance.

The teams with the worst chance to win the World Series

Though every team enters the season with hope, some organizations are in a better position to contend for a championship than others. According to baseball-reference, the New York Yankees currently have the best chance to win the World Series at 27.5%, followed by the Los Angeles Dodgers (23.0%), and the Houston Astros (17.2%). However, there are a number of teams with much worse odds. As of June 30th, these are the five teams with the worst chance to win the World Series according to baseball-reference:

The Miami Marlins have a 0.2% chance to win the World Series the worst odds in baseball. The Marlins have been plagued by injuries this season, as well as mediocre play from their few remaining healthy players. They currently sit at 30-51, 23 games back in the NL East standings and 12 games out of a Wild Card spot.

The Detroit Tigers also have very poor odds to win a championship this year, at 0.3%. The Tigers are 31-50 on the season and sit in last place in the AL Central standings, 15 games back of first place and 13 games out of a Wild Card spot. Injuries have also been an issue for Detroit this year, as they have been forced to use 22 different starting pitchers due to various injuries and illnesses throughout their rotation.

Next are the Baltimore Orioles who have 0.4% odds of winning the World Series according to baseball-reference. The Orioles are 32-48 on the season and sit in last place in the AL East standings, 17 games back of first place and 14 games out of a Wild Card spot. They have struggled offensively all season long and currently rank dead last in MLB in runs scored per game (3.36).

The Kansas City Royals also have very poor playoff odds at 0.5%. The Royals are 32-47 on the year and sit in fourth place in the AL Central standings, 15 1/2 games back of first place and 13 1/2 games out of a wild card spot. They have struggled offensively all season long and currently rank 27th in MLB in runs scored per game (4.00).

Lastly, we have the Toronto Blue Jays who have 0.6% odds of winning the World Series this year according to baseball-reference . The Blue Jays are 33-46 on the season and sit third place in the AL East standings, 15 1/2 games back of first place and 11 games out of a Wild Card spot . They too have struggled offensively all season long , ranking 25th in MLB in runs scored per game (4

The teams that are on the bubble of winning the World Series

As the baseball season enters its final month, playoff prospects are beginning to come into focus. But there are still a number of teams on the bubble, fighting for their postseason lives.

In the National League the Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers are locked in a tight battle for the NL Central crown, while the Los Angeles Dodgers and Colorado Rockies are battling for supremacy in the NL West. The Atlanta Braves have a comfortable lead in the NL East, but the Seattle Mariners and Oakland Athletics are still alive in the race for the second Wild Card spot.

In the American League things are just as tight. The Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros are neck-and-neck in the AL West, while the New York Yankees and Cleveland Indians are fighting for first place in the AL East. The AL Central is wide open, with any of four teams (the Indians, Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox or Detroit Tigers) looking like they could take home the division crown. And although they’re currently on the outside looking in, don’t count out division rivals Los Angeles Angels or Texas Rangers when it comes to winning a Wild Card berth.

So who’s in and who’s out? It’s hard to say at this point, but one thing is certain: it’s going to be an exciting finish to the 2018 Major League Baseball season!

The teams that have clinched a World Series berth

With just a few days left in the MLB season several teams have already clinched a spot in the playoffs. The Los Angeles Dodgers have clinched the National League West title, while the Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs are battling it out for the NL Central crown. In the American League the Boston Red Sox have clinched the East division, and the Houston Astros have wrapped up the West division.

The Cleveland Indians and the New York Yankees are currently leading their respective divisions (the AL Central and AL East), but neither team has clinched a berth yet. The Yankees currently hold a one-game lead over the Indians, but with just four games left to play, anything could happen.

The National League Wild Card race is also heating up, with four teams vying for two playoff spots. The Colorado Rockies currently hold the first wild card spot, but they are only half a game ahead of both the Brewers and Cardinals. The Cubs are also in the mix, just one game behind those teams.

In the AL, the Oakland Athletics currently hold onto the first wild card spot, but they are only 1.5 games ahead of both Seattle and Tampa Bay While it’s unlikely that all three of those teams will make it to October, Stranger Things have happened in baseball.

So who’s in and who’s out? Here’s a look at each team’s current playoff odds, according to baseball-reference:

Los Angeles Dodgers (100%): The Dodgers have already clinched their sixth straight NL West title, and they are currently leading all NL teams with 105 wins. They will almost certainly be one of the favorites to win it all this year.

Boston Red Sox (100%): The Red Sox have also clinched their division (the AL East), and they sit second in MLB with 103 wins so far this season. They seem poised to make a deep run in October as well.

Houston Astros (100%): The Astros have won 101 games so far this year, good for third best in MLB, and they will be looking to repeat as World Series champions come October.

New York Yankees (88%): The Yankees currently sit atop the AL East with 101 wins on the season, but they don’t have much room for error if they want to make it back to October baseball Their 88% chance of making playoffs is still pretty good though.
Cleveland Indians (68%): The Indians are right on the Yankees’ heels with 99 wins so far this year, but their playoff odds aren’t quite as good according to baseball-reference . They’ll need some help from other teams if they want to make it back to October baseball this year.. Milwaukee Brewers (64%): The Brewers are currently tied with Chicago for first place in NL Central ,and they hold onto the top wild card spot by half a game . They’ve got a decent shot at making some noise come playoffs time.. Chicago Cubs (60%): As mentioned above ,the Cubs are right in thick of things in both the NL Central race and wild card race . They’ll need some help from other teams if they want to make it back to October baseball this year.. Colorado Rockies (52% ): The Rockies currently sit atop of NL West ,but they only hold onto that spot by half a game . They’ve got a decent shot at making some noise come playoffs time.. St .Louis Cardinals(50 % ):The Cardinals are right behind Colorado for both NL West lead and first wild card spot . They’ll need some help from other teams if they want not just make noise ,but become dangerous come playoffs time . Oakland Athletics(48 % ):The Athletics current sit atop AL Wild Card Standings ,but bottom two feeders Seattle Mariners( 1 .5 GB )and Tampa Bay Rays( 1 GB )are dangerously close especially considering recent success each team had against Oakland A’s Seattle Mariners( 46 %) :As stated before Mariners only trail A’s by 1 ..5 games for final Wild Card birth ,but will look increase that chances greatly especially playing 7 out final 10 games against bottom dweller Anaheim Angels Tampa Bay Rays( 38 % ):And lastly we bottom feeders who must go through rigorous journey starting off most likely playing one another known as “Wild Card Game” Whoever comes out on top then gets booed off stage because playing defending champion Houston Astros ain’t easy

The teams that have been eliminated from World Series contention

As the baseball season enters its final weeks, a number of teams have been eliminated from World Series contention. The following teams have been mathematically eliminated from winning the World Series according to baseball-reference’s Playoff Odds:

--Baltimore Orioles (0.0% chance of winning the World Series)
--Boston Red Sox (0.0%)
--Cleveland Indians (0.0%)
--Houston Astros (0.0%)
--Kansas City Royals (0.1%)
--Los Angeles Angels (0.2%)
--Minnesota Twins (0.4%)
-New York Mets (1.1%)
--Oakland Athletics (1.4%)
--Pittsburgh Pirates (2.5%)
--San Diego Padres (2.7%)
– Seattle Mariners (3.2%)
--Texas Rangers (3.4%)
– Toronto Blue Jays (3.5%)